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27

Petroleum Devolopments

December

2015

November

2015

Change from

November 2015

December

2014

Change from

December 2014

OECD Demand

46.8

46.1

0.8

47.0

-0.2

Rest of the World

50.0

48.7

1.4

49.1

0.9

World Demand

96.9

94.7

2.2

96.1

0.8

OPEC Supply:

39.3

39.6

-0.3

37.9

1.4

Crude Oil

32.5

32.8

-0.3

31.1

1.4

NGL’s & Cond.

6.8

6.8

0.0

6.8

0.0

Non-Opec Supply

57.2

56.7

0.5

56.4

0.8

Processing Gain

2.4

2.3

0.1

2.4

0.0

World Supply

98.8

98.6

0.2

96.7

2.1

Balance

1.9

3.9

0.6

Source: Energy Intelligence Briefing January 21, 2016.

On the supply side, preliminary estimates show that world oil supplies

for December 2015

increased

by 0.2% or 0.2 million b/d comparing with

the previous month level to reach 98.8 million b/d, a level that is 2.1 million

b/d higher than last year.

In December 2015,

OPEC

crude oil and NGLs/condensates total

supplies

decreased

by 0.8% or 0.3 million b/d comparing with the previous

month level to reach 39.3 million b/d, a level that is 1.4 million b/d higher

than last year. In contrast preliminary estimates

show that

Non-OPEC

supplies

increased

by 1% or 0.6 million b/d comparing with the previous

month level to reach 59.6 million b/d, a level that is 0.8 million b/d higher

than last year.

Preliminary estimates of the supply and demand for December 2015

reveal a surplus of 1.9 million b/d, compared to a surplus of 3.9 million

b/d in November 2015 and a surplus of 0.6 million b/d in December 2014,

as shown in

table (2)

and

figure (6)

:

Table 2

World Supply and Demand

(Million b/d)